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On the Ball

The Three-Pointer: Lakers Dodge A Bullet

Los Angeles Lakers 101, Orlando Magic 96 (OT)

Lakers lead series 2-0

1. Redemption For Gasol and Odom

When the Lakers were getting their behinds kicked by the Celtics in last year's Finals, the easy blame for the softness and passivity fell on Pau Gasol and Lamar Odom. Both lean, agile, quick and talented, both without a shred of bloodlust lingering anywhere in their DNA. One could argue that the slow dismantlement of that supposedly proud purple and gold outfit occurred as Kobe Bryant watched his team's second and third best players get bounced around without a gritty response and allowed his disgust to help disintegrate whatever chemistry existed, resulting in that embarrassing Game Six 2008 Finals blowout.

Tonight the Lakers were a last-second Courtney Lee layup from landing back in the pressure cooker, but it is fair to say that when  it came to doing all the big and little things required to snatch a ring, both Gasol and Odom more than held their own, and were genuinely as much a part of this victory, sending LA up 2-0, as was Kobe. It isn't hard to suss the Lakers' strategy: Job One is making sure that Dwight Howard doesn't get anything easy at the rim. But Howard was a much better player than the turgid giant who registered but one field goal in the series opener. From kick-outs to rebounds to transition energy to low post offense (his weakest aspect of the four just mentioned), "Superman" was more engaged. He also sank 7-9 free throws, and even the two misses were in a shooter's rhythm and not Shaq-like liners or archers off the back iron an exaggerated knee bends on the shot. Put simply, Howard came to play, much to the consternation of Andrew Bynum, who committed five fouls and had one rebound in 16:24. But with help from a rotating and trapping cast of characters, including Odom, Gasol once again did a stolid job on Howard. Put it this way, it is impossible to imagine Howard getting 40 points on a team that has Pau Gasol. Think about how silly that might have sounded last year. But, like Odom, Gasol has "toughened up" without losing his signature finesse. On defense, he's moving his feet and keeping his arms up--two crucial attributes to avoid fouls--daring Howard to have enough refined offense to score against his seven-foot length while his teammates are doubling down and rotating over. And when Gasol does look like he's about to get torched, he commits the hard, smart, sure foul. At the other end, Gasol' is a dream for interior passing, possessing both the vision to hit cutters with little shovel dishes, and the hands to receive similar passes from his teammates. If Howard strays, Gasol can make him pay. That's a big difference between the Lakers and everyone else the Magic have played in these playoffs. it was Gasol's and-one layup off a feed from Kobe that finally decided this game and it was Gasol's 7 points in overtime that led all scorers.

Odom? He canned 8 of 9 of his own shots and blocked three of Orlando's. His defense wasn't as good as Gasol's (more than once, the cameras caught him sloughing on perimeter switches, or was it just the schemes not being executed by others?), but he matched up with everyone from Marcin Gortat to Hedo Turkoglu, battled on the boards and pressured the Magic in transition. He finished with a game-best plus +10 in 45:43, which means LA was minus -4 in the 7:17 he sat. Bottom line, if Gasol and Odom don't take their Celtic beatdown as a personal challenge and vivid remembrance and fail to elevate their games the way each did tonight, the Lakers are tied at 1-1 heading to Orlando.

2. Unsolicited Advice For Stan Van Gundy

The first quarter was brutal, a 15-15 score, and more than one person was wondering if the Laker plan to deter Howard in the low block and then let their length and quickness provide enough pressure on the close-outs to sweep the Magic. Yes, many of the perimeter jumpers Orlando was clanking looked makeable, but those four or five extra inches on LA's defenders, and not nerves or the law of averages after a couple of lights-out series for dead-eye long-range shooting, might have been the difference. Then Rashard Lewis proved Orlando's inside-outside schemes were still viable. It was Lewis who figured out how to counterpunch the Lakers' hell-bent elasticity from paint to perimeter. Receiving the dish from the surrounded Howard, he'd fake the trey and penetrate a dribble-bounce or two inside the onrushing defender, then either can the jumper or dish to the wide-open teammate whose man just left to collapse on Lewis. But when his teammates couldn't hit the broad side of a barn, Lewis took matters into his own hands. In the second period, he scored 18 of his team's 20 points, shooting 7-10 while the other Magic went 1-13, with the lone non-Lewis make coming off one of his feeds. After scoring a game-high 20 points in the first half, he dished for a game-high 5 assists in the second half and overtime, finishing with 34 points, 11 rebounds, and 7 assists. Those are Kobe-like numbers to go with his Kobe-like shots to finish off the Celtics and Cavs in crunchtime. The point is not that  Rashard Lewis is the second coming of Kobe--he's far from it--but that he's not the guy who deserves grief for signing a ridiculously expensive contract while being the third-best player on his team. Right now it doesn't look like such a foolish investment.

Just as Lakers want to do everything possible to take away Howard from Orlando's offense, the Magic are trying to minimize the damage Kobe wreaks when the Lakers have the ball. Both stars face a myriad assortment of traps and rotations, which is why despite playing relatively savvy, gritty games tonight, both committed 7 turnvoers. To continue the comparison, just as the Lakers' default defense on Howard--Gasol instead of Bynum as the primary backstop--worked better than the original concept, the Magic should be discovering that starter and initially-designated Kobe-stopper Courtney Lee is simply overmatched here. You can see Kobe coast when Lee is on him. He knows he can get off his shot whenever he wants, so he spends more time surveying the floor, looking to involve his teammates. In Game Two, you could see that Lee took to heart suggestions that he wasn't sufficiently aggressive, but all his newfound industry got him was a pair of quick whistles and a seat on the bench. Bottom line, it is time to take Courtney Lee off Kobe Bryant.

This quasi-demotion would be much easier to execute if Lee wasn't the one who went up a tad too strong on the last second layup in regulation and essentially blew an Orlando win as a result. All season long, Lee has demonstrated remarkable poise and self-regard for a rookie, but it is difficult to imagine his disposition not taking a significant hit if he loses his starting assignment right after the layup muff. But no matter. Mickael Pietrus needs to begin the game on Kobe and the next option should be Hedo Turkoglu, who defended the "Black Mamba" better than any other Magic player during the fourth quarter and overtime of tonight's contest. If Turkoglu wasn't so important to the facilitation of the offense, I'd gamble sapping much of his energy deterring Kobe.

However you want to parse it, Orlando's backcourt is killing their chances of beating LA as the substitution rotations are now constituted. Tonight, Alston, Lee, Pietrus, Reddick and Nelson shot a combined 7-30 FG, including 1-13 from three-point range. In Game One, the same quintet were 14-43 FG and 5-16 from beyond the arc. As if that weren't bad enough, four of the five can't guard Kobe and have allowed Derek Fisher sufficient space for his jumper and a paucity of resistance for his dribble drives to boost his confidence. Normally I agree with most everything Jeff Van Gundy says, but the staunch advocacy he and his broadcast partner Mark Jackson make for Jameer Nelson is nuts. Yes, Nelson is the most talented point guard on the team, and no, he is not the guy to play his way back into rhythm and team chemistry after many months of successful high-pressure games in his absence. In fact, along with starting Pietrus, I'd give forgotten point guard Anthony Johnson back his minutes, because Johnson, like Turkoglu, generally makes the smart, unflashy play, and smart and unflashy are the best weapons against the Lakers' length and quickness. In my humble opinion, Johnson is also the best defensive matchup for Fisher. Does that mean you don't play Nelson at all? Maybe. It depends on the foul situation and the matchups. The more time you put Turkoglu on Kobe, the more you ride Johnson or Nelson at the expense of Rafer Alston, because you need to compensate for lesser facilitation of the offense while he concentrates on D.

This much we do know: Courtney Lee can't guard Kobe Bryant. Hedo Turkoglu looks like he can do it for some stretches. Rafer Alston likewise looks like a bad matchup in this series unless he can figure out how to beat the Lakers' bigs back in transition--or determines he's tough enough to stop Fisher off the dribble. Sticking with Lee and Alston as your starting backcourt is not a recipe for surmounting a 2-0 deficit against the Lakers. Nor is riding Jameer Nelson at the expense of Anthony Johnson.

3. Quick Hits

Jeff Van Gundy is bending over backwards not to show favoritism towards his brother's team, but even he couldn't help but point out that the 6th foul on Pietrus should have been a no-call, and ditto the whistle on Turkoglu when Kobe inexplicably fell down and grabbed his left hammy and buttocks. Meanwhile, Trevor Ariza collided hard with Lewis out on the perimeter and because no shot or pass was being attempted and Lewis maintained his dribble, no call was made. I have no problem with that--provided Pietrus and Turkoglu are afforded the same respect at the other end fo the court.,

The out of bounds play devised by Stan Van Gundy at the buzzer in regulation was brilliant--at least in concept. Coming out of the timeout, everyone was wondering whether they'd alley oop to Howard or try to free up their large outside gunners, Lewis and/or Turkoglu. Instead, it was a multiple pick situation that allowed Lee to sneak free and receive a lob and an open lane to the hoop. The great defender Kobe Bryant was caught with his shorts down. Much as I'd love to unconditionally laud SVG, however, one reason you go to the expected crunchtime guys at crunchtime is because they are less likely to muff their window of opportunity. SVG opted to live and die diagramming a scheme to free up a rookie on the franchise's most important play in 15 years--and died with it.

As the NBA opened their training camps in October and people imagined the Lakers' quest in returning to the Finals, how many envisioned such a large role for defensive stopper Trevor Ariza? It is the key role players that elicit the intimacy of shared trivia when recalled decades later. Ariza will do that for 40-something hoops junkies in LA round about 2035.

 

15 Reader Comments

Andy G08:56am
Jun 8

The way-too-often repeated "when Lamar Odom plays well, the Lakers are unbeatable" was almost proven wrong, with Lee's missed layup. That is the best big game I can remember Odom playing.

As much as the percentages point toward the Lakers winning this thing in 6 games or less, I'm not quite sure that it's over yet. Odom and Ariza played outstanding games, and it took LA overtime to win on their home floor. And that was with very favorable calls down the stretch. If Orlando wins Game 3, and I think they probably will, it's a series again and I'll feel comfortable with my prediction of Lakers in 7.

stop-n-pop (not verified)09:13am
Jun 8

I won't go as far as Shaq has in his cheap shots at Howard, but this loss goes squarely on the shoulders of the big fella. I can't remember the last time I saw a defensive player of the year not hustle on the break, stay in the back court while whining at the refs when the ball is being pushed, and failing to pop back on a switch so that guys like Lewis and Hedo could go back out and guard Ariza and Odom. The guy is a flat-out child at times and I remember this being an issue in the Olympics where he was the only player to exhibit non-Olympian behavior. Every possessions matter in the finals and this guy wastes several a game with his whining and non-hustle up the court to defend guys like Gasol and Bynum in transition.

I know it sounds a bit late now because of the way this started and I seem like I'm a bit late to the show, but the Lakers sweep this series. The Lakers have set this up perfectly and I take back all the mean things I've ever said about Phil Jackson. They know who Howard is and they know how to beat him. Howard may get there one day but he sure isn't there right now. Let's not forget this is a guy who was suspended for a game earlier in the playoffs and had to have technicals rescinded. This part of his game, almost as much as his complete lack of a functional offensive game beyond DWIGHT SMASH! is going to hold him back. If Orlando does pull this out, it will be because of the 3 ball opening things up enough where DWIGHT SMASH! actually works, but...well, it's just very frustrating to watch a guy like this because he's handing away possession after possession during the game and the whining is amazing.

TimAllen (not verified)10:18am
Jun 8

@Stop-n-pop: As much as I agree with you that Howard has a long way to go to be the dominant force that he can be in NBA, I think you're making too much out of his "whining". I mean, if three or four guys aren't whining about something on every play, it isn't NBA basketball.

Also, as much as Kobe is a great player and has been personally responsible for a number of their wins, he played very poorly in Game 2. Other than the nice pass to Pau in OT that sealed it, Kobe looked like his old selfish self, especially on the last play of regulation when he drove one-on-four instead of passing to Fisher, Ariza or Odom, all of whom had wide open threes.

Andy G10:32am
Jun 8

Tim-

I agree that Kobe didn't play his best ball in Game 2, but "very poorly" is a stretch. 10-22 from the floor with 8 assists is a pretty decent game, even with the high turnovers. On the last play, he blew by Turkuglo and challenged Howard. If Hedo didn't recover to cleanly block the shot, Kobe (at a minimum) dares the ref to call a foul when he drew contact with Howard (which he did, but it was after the block).

I agree about Howard, too. His whining has nothing on Kobe and LeBron. The flaw in Howard's game is his lack of post moves. He's played extremely well this season and this post-season, though. Not a perfect player, but the best center in the league in terms of overall impact. It makes me cringe a little bit when I watch Howard and Gasol battling 12 feet in the air for rebounds and imagining our TWolves front line in that type of situation.

Big Bomb (not verified)12:23pm
Jun 8

Another bromide that bears no true merit -- Pau being soft was the reason the Laker's lost to the Celtics. First off -- he didn't get nearly as much help on Garnett, as he's getting on Howard. Second -- the numbers don't bear out this meme -- Garnett's numbers during most of the championship were DOWN. Yes, DOWN. What happened was -- the Celts, unlike the Magic -- have other beefy guys besides Garnett, who were finding spaces for short perimeter jumpers, or getting free when the Laker's defense collapsed on Garnett (but mostly when Pierce drove). Pau could not rotate off Garnett in time to help. And, knowing he just couldn't make dumb obvious fouls because we need his points too much, he layed off the cutters (a point Van Gundy lauded him for on air -- not getting in foul trouble so he could stick around for offense). The "Pau was soft against the Celts" theme needs to be retired on one of those ESPN shows "10 Reasons You can't blame ..."

stop-n-pop (not verified)12:24pm
Jun 8

TimAllen:

I know that there is a lot of whining in the NBA but I counted 4 times during last night's game where he did it while a play was still unfolding, often against Orlando's favor. The guy didn't even play to the whistle on one play where he thought he was fouled and he should have probably been called for traveling. The guy played like a kid in the Olympics and it has picked right back up in the Finals. He needs to shut up and play to the whistle....and then whine.

Britt Robson12:52pm
Jun 8

Big Bomb--

Which is it, "he didn't get nearly as much help on Garnett as he's getting on Howard" or "getting free when the Laker's defense collapsed on Garnett (but mostly when Pierce drove)"?

It is not myth but conventional wisdom that the Celtics were more physical and took the Lakers out of their rhythm in last year's Finals. They did so while getting very limited minutes from Kendrick Perkins, especially in Games One and Two, both Celtic victories. So, are you telling me the "beefy guys" besides Garnett were PJ Brown, Leon Powe and James Posey?

Pau being "soft" wasn't the main reason the Lakers lost to the Celtics (I'd blame Odom's disappearance more), but if you don't see the difference between Gasol last year and Gasol this year, I don't know what to tell you. Do you remember KG flattening Gasol in the first quarter of the clinching Game Six? Do you honestly think Gasol would let that happen again?

In case you didn't read the column, I'm praising Gasol for the added tenacity he has brought to his game. You want to pretend he had that same tenacity last year. On that we disagree.

Bababooey (not verified)02:09pm
Jun 8

Good to see you writing about professional ball again during the finals (gratuitous swipe at the Wolves). The anlysis is great and the wordsmithing hall of fame worthy.

You made a good point about Lee’s play last second. The reason SVG could get him open is that he was the weakest, shortest, most inexperienced player on the floor. Hedo’s pass was necessarily a line drive and not a lob, but the kid was going so fast he caught it under the boards and couldn’t switch hands and bank it against his own momentum. Howard or Lewis may have, but they wouldn’t have been that open. It was a good call considering the situation, but the result was predictable.

Hedo did indeed play Kobe better than anyone else. But in the hyperspeed of gametime, when physically and mentally taxed and wasted, its difficult to adjust to new things. You can be sure Kobe is downloading his anti-Turkish Jordan software and will be ready next time. But, you’re right, Lee definitively has proven that he cannot guard Kobe.

As for Gasol, I thought he played pretty well in the Finals last year. From recollection, Garnett could not handle him and needed lots of help defense while Gasol usually took Garnett straight up. Garnett shot 43% and Gasol 53% while functioning as the only Laker bigman against the Celtics phalanx of big fellas. Gasol’s improvement in 2009 isn’t in thuggish shoves, silly scowls and wild gesticulating (after all, is anything more ridiculous than a Viking Berserker fake hustle act from a man wearing shorts to work?), its in the finesse side of defense— timing on help defense (especially that), anticipation & focus, moving feet and fighting for position, etc. Better at D yes, “tougher” I’m not sure.

Having said that, the Lakers have said in the 2 postgame conferences (love the media disintermediation of NBA Tv) that they are mindful of their beating last year and learned from it, so they'd agree with you.

Peter Weinhold (not verified)02:26pm
Jun 8

Quick note to Timberwolves fans who are over-idolizing both Big Al and Kevin Love as core club pieces, based on what I've seen in the playoffs so far:

Size and length still matter in the NBA. At every position, we have neither that counts at this point.

At his present skill level, Love would've got his head handed to him from any of the conference semi-finals on through this series. Without serious improvement in his mid-range shot and finishing skills, he's a quality role player coming off the bench at best.

As for Howard whining, I don't know which is worse, his complaining or Big Al not getting back at all. The result is the same...except that Howard's problem is all mental, while Jefferson's problem may well be his lack of athleticism, in addition to some needed attitude "tweaking". I fear for people's lives once Howard gets the mentality of a Bryant or James. Al might be at the apex of his talent.

As was mentioned numerous times last night, the ball needs to get into Howard's hands quicker, and in better position. He has to put the ball on the floor way too many times to get to the rack, which results in the defense collapsing around him. For all their love of the trey, Orlando has no cold-hearted, consistent shooter(s) that would give me pause to say they can get back into the series. Lewis and the Turk are okay, but they need better passing and more discipline to hang with the Lakers' superior talent. The only hope for the Magic right now is that LA would get complacent and take their foot off the pedal a bit.

As disappointing as it is to see a potential blowout finals series as the end to a glorious playoff season in the NBA, it is an indicator of how far the gap is between the haves and have-nots in the league. And to think, Kahn is still dicking around with the decision to keep the Iron Ranger as coach. My God, make a call and let's get on with it. We have such a long, long way to go...

levi09:33pm
Jun 8

Re "Big Bomb" - perhaps he's one of the Laker faithful (note the us of "we") that I may have attracted here by posting notice of Britt's writeups to the venerable Usenet newsgroup alt.sports.basketball.nba.la-lakers. It's often a rowdy place, and not particularly known for the objectivity of it's participants.

Anyways, great analysis again, Britt.

As I alluded to in the previous 3-pointer, the Magic must run flat out to have a shot at winning the series. Despite Van Gundy's seemingly exasperated pleas for more effort, I thought they pretty much had the pedal to the metal from the git-go. Thus, given the seeming ease with which the Lakers dominated the overtime period, I think it was clear that whatever reserves of energy the Magic may have had was sapped by the disappointment at Lee's miss.

The Magic are, in my estimation, two players short of being on par with the Lakers, specifically 1) a true "big" to partner with Howard and 2) a guard who can really guard Kobe without detracting from their offense.

Oh well, they're in the Finals, while the Timberwolves have been fishing since..., well, let's just say the ice houses were still on the lake. I heartily endorse Peter's viewpoint on size & ability re Jefferson, Love, et al. And Kahn needs to pull the trigger - yes David, we know it will take 17 months or more, no need to tell us.

pagingstanleyroberts (not verified)11:47pm
Jun 8

Howard's hoop IQ is being exposed in this series. His decisions aren't good, and he's showing how much improvement his post game needs. Unless he gets to at least the Shaq-in-his-prime level of post moves, this won't be the first time that he tastes playoff failure.

I think the Magic can at least push this to six if they start going to the tall-ball lineup they played in the last 5 minutes and overtime. They have Turkoglu/Lee/Redick/Lewis/Pietrus to play alongside Howard. They can rotate guys on Kobe. Obviously, Alston should still get some time in there, but Orlando's point guards are hurting more than helping right now.

As for Jefferson, well, if I remember correctly, Pau Gasol wasn't exactly the facilitator and stout defender in Memphis that he is now. Talent gets better with more talent around them and a system to accentuate their strengths and hide their weaknesses. If the Wolves' best players have fatal flaws, the time to make those judgments will be if they struggle while having playoff-caliber teammates. I don't know if they will, but it's too early to figure that out. Maybe none of them will ever be as good as KG (I don't think they will), but KG led this franchise to two sub-35-win seasons in his last two years here.

Bababooey (not verified)11:40am
Jun 9

I think the Magic can at least push this to six if they start going to the tall-ball lineup they played in the last 5 minutes and overtime.

The Lakers will game plan for that lineup now that it showed success, which may erode its effectiveness. Second, that lienup improves the defense, but at the cost of less offense and more turnovers (turnovers which negate a taller lineup for that possession because big guys can't retreat well).

...a guard who can really guard Kobe without detracting from their offense.
Only father time can guard Kobe and he's not eligible for the draft yet. Team defenses make it hard on Kobe. The latest supposed Kobe stopper, Shane Battier, doesn't actually stop his drives or reduce his FG%, what he does is try to steer Kobe into a wall of his teamates who are all tasked with stopping Kobe.

Orlando figured out after game 1 that the stuff that worked on Lebron (sagging off the P/R, defending the Circle) doesn't work because Kobe can nail a short jumper off the dribble. Then they trapped the P/R harder, and got Kobe into a bad turnover game. But Kobe can handle that approach (among other ways) by backing up and dragging 2 trappers with him, then throwing to Gasol or Lamar who led a 4 on 3 attack. Or just beat it and look for cutters.

If you look at Kobe's TO's during the playoff run, in 9 games he had 0 or 1 turnover, which is remarkable, and he averages 2.5. (Chris Paul, who is great, averaged over 4 per game; Jordan, who is greater, was 3 per game; and Kareem, who is the greatest, was 2.6 per game). Kobe's ability to orchestrate the offense while keeping turnovers down is remarkable.

drza4402:33pm
Jun 9

As always, I love this blog. After reading the initial article, I was inspired to write a post of my own about the perceived "softness" of Gasol and Odom and how that is often blamed for last year's Lakers loss to the Celtics http://rotosynthesis.rotowire.com/Redemption-of-Gasol-and-Odom-BBD1115.htm . I gave all of my details in the post, and then when I get back here and read the comments I see that some of my points have already been laid out by your responders.

For the record, Britt, I agree more with the side that believes Gasol/Odom's "softness" was extremely overblown as the reason for the Lakers' loss. To me, there are two main ways to quickly evaluate big man toughness: defense and rebounds. In the last two conference and NBA Finals, the Lakers have faced teams led by Duncan, Garnett, and Howard. In those 3 series, Gasol and Odom are both averaging basically a double-double so they are doing their part on the boards. Likewise, in those 3 series, Duncan shot 42.6% from the field, Garnett shot 42.9% from the field, and Howard is shooting 37.5% from the field so clearly the Lakers' team is playing good big man defense.

Gasol and Odom haven't been perfect, but they have more than held their own. They have taken 3 of the best big men in the NBA way off their scoring game, shot efficiently against all-era defensive big men (both Gasol and Odom are near 50% over those 3 series), and passed well (combined 6 assists per between them in those 3 series). When looking for reasons that the Lakers lost last year, I think "Gasol and Odom's softness" is not close to the top of the list, and that if anything they aren't the ones that need redemption this year.

Longar Longar (not verified)01:14pm
Jun 30

On Today’s NBA Chat with ESPN’s Chad Ford

Alex (nj)9:19 AM

One more question from a depressed Nets fan.Is there any truth to the rumors that the nets were shopping Harris (to minnesota) before the draft and why in the world would they want to do that? The kid is a young all-star PG with a more then managable salary (something like 8mil per)… Why try to trade him?

Chad Ford10:11 AM

There was a little bit of truth to it. They really liked Ricky Rubio … but I don’t think it will happen.

MikeJU (not verified)02:08pm
Aug 12

It was sad that Orlando Magic lost, they clearly had a better game that day, but were out-coached in my opinion. Surgery Doctors

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